Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 81.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 70.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Strome
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Strome
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
59.8% (296)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
34.4% (32)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Strome
Hertl
Home
46.4% (513)
54.3% (709)
Away
51.0% (569)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Strome
Hertl
P1
44.9%
51.6%
P2
50.8%
53.6%
P3
49.7%
58.6%
OT
77.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |