Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.6%). Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.5% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 64.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Strome
Karlsson
Last 9: Strome 3-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Strome
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (829)
47.4% (1,012)
-0.1%
Power Play
69.0% (58)
45.6% (136)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
53.5% (86)
-33.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Strome shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
49.8% (468)
47.7% (658)
Away
46.9% (429)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
46.1%
46.6%
P2
52.9%
47.2%
P3
46.3%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |