Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 87.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
58.6% (597)
-6.0%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
57.9% (57)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
51.9% (52)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
53.4% (653)
59.6% (344)
Away
53.9% (634)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
49.3%
53.1%
P2
54.6%
62.1%
P3
56.7%
60.1%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |