Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 79.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 65.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Strome
Karlsson
Last 8: Strome 3-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Strome
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Strome
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
56.3% (739)
-5.7%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
58.6% (181)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
47.2% (53)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
51.9% (700)
56.5% (462)
Away
53.9% (620)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
51.6%
57.1%
P2
53.0%
55.2%
P3
54.3%
56.7%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |