Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.7%). Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 77.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 76.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Strome
Karlsson
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
6
Strome
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
51.4% (735)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
63.5% (115)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.9% (133)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
51.3% (448)
52.3% (524)
Away
53.4% (431)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
51.4%
50.7%
P2
54.6%
51.4%
P3
50.7%
53.2%
OT
66.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2022 | OT | 01:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |