Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 75.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 75.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Strome
Karlsson
Last 8: Strome 4-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
55.3% (897)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
61.1% (113)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
50.8% (132)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Strome shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
46.4% (513)
58.6% (560)
Away
51.0% (569)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
44.9%
55.8%
P2
50.8%
55.6%
P3
49.7%
55.7%
OT
77.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |