Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Tavares 59.8% (-20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 69.8%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 89.2%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 84.5%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Luostarinen
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Luostarinen
Tavares
Last 8: Luostarinen 1-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Luostarinen
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Luostarinen
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Luostarinen
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
60.9% (1,043)
-19.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.4% (278)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
47.6% (21)
-17.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Luostarinen shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Tavares
Home
38.8% (402)
63.5% (684)
Away
41.3% (400)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Luostarinen
Tavares
P1
40.7%
60.3%
P2
42.9%
60.4%
P3
36.2%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
38.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |