Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 51.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Luostarinen
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Luostarinen
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Luostarinen
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
57.7% (998)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.5% (271)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
56.4% (39)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Luostarinen shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Tavares
Home
46.2% (39)
59.7% (610)
Away
44.1% (34)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Luostarinen
Tavares
P1
48.4%
57.2%
P2
41.7%
58.5%
P3
44.4%
59.4%
Final 5 min
37.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |