Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 52.3% vs Tavares 58.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Luostarinen
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Luostarinen
Tavares
Last 6: Luostarinen 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Luostarinen
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (153)
59.2% (1,035)
-5.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
60.0% (310)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
42.9% (7)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Luostarinen has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Luostarinen shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Tavares
Home
53.3% (92)
57.5% (668)
Away
54.0% (87)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Luostarinen
Tavares
P1
52.2%
58.0%
P2
49.1%
60.1%
P3
60.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |