Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 61.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.6%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 52.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Luostarinen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
56.3% (1,115)
-14.9%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
61.2% (67)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
52.1% (292)
-7.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Luostarinen shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Staal
Home
41.5% (207)
58.3% (705)
Away
42.2% (211)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Luostarinen
Staal
P1
38.2%
54.5%
P2
44.9%
58.2%
P3
42.9%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |