Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 52.3% vs Staal 57.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 84.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.1%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 66.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Luostarinen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Luostarinen
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Luostarinen
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (153)
58.9% (1,096)
-5.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
68.4% (57)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
51.8% (222)
+8.2%
On power play, Staal has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Luostarinen shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Staal
Home
53.3% (92)
57.0% (646)
Away
54.0% (87)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Luostarinen
Staal
P1
52.2%
55.9%
P2
49.1%
55.4%
P3
60.0%
62.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |