Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Staal 54.2% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 74.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.6%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 51.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Luostarinen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
57.0% (1,017)
-10.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.7% (26)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.1% (286)
-8.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Luostarinen shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Staal
Home
46.2% (39)
54.3% (667)
Away
44.1% (34)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Luostarinen
Staal
P1
48.4%
56.2%
P2
41.7%
57.0%
P3
44.4%
49.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |