Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs Staal 54.6% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 64.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.0%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 52.3%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Luostarinen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
56.1% (955)
-7.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
66.9% (142)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
43.0% (242)
-12.2%
On power play, Staal has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Luostarinen is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Luostarinen shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Staal
Home
40.7% (27)
55.4% (663)
Away
45.3% (53)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Luostarinen
Staal
P1
47.8%
55.1%
P2
39.1%
54.7%
P3
42.4%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |