Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.2% vs Hayes 44.1% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 51.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Luostarinen
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (29)
33.3% (81)
+21.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
64.3% (14)
-64.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Luostarinen is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hayes
Home
40.0% (15)
30.6% (49)
Away
46.2% (26)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hayes
P1
50.0%
24.2%
P2
45.5%
43.8%
P3
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
43.9%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%