Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Hayes 51.7% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Luostarinen
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
51.6% (386)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.2% (47)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
60.0% (20)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hayes
Home
46.2% (39)
50.5% (200)
Away
44.1% (34)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hayes
P1
48.4%
58.8%
P2
41.7%
49.3%
P3
44.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%