Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 52.3% vs Hayes 56.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 77.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Luostarinen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Luostarinen
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (153)
56.6% (724)
-3.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
57.0% (79)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
65.7% (35)
-5.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hayes
Home
53.3% (92)
58.0% (405)
Away
54.0% (87)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hayes
P1
52.2%
54.7%
P2
49.1%
55.7%
P3
60.0%
60.2%
Final 5 min
62.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |