Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Hayes 49.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.6%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 57.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Luostarinen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Luostarinen
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
48.5% (557)
-7.1%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
53.3% (107)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
58.3% (12)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hayes
Home
41.5% (207)
50.8% (313)
Away
42.2% (211)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hayes
P1
38.2%
52.3%
P2
44.9%
47.7%
P3
42.9%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |