Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Hayes 43.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.3%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 70.8%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 55.2%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Luostarinen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Luostarinen
Hayes
Last 5: Luostarinen 1-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Luostarinen
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Luostarinen
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
42.7% (478)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
42.9% (98)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
45.2% (31)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hayes
Home
38.8% (402)
43.5% (232)
Away
41.3% (400)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hayes
P1
40.7%
40.1%
P2
42.9%
44.8%
P3
36.2%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |