Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 50.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 69.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Luostarinen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Luostarinen
Dowd
Last 5: Luostarinen 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Luostarinen
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
0
Luostarinen
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,748)
52.4% (6,009)
-7.7%
Power Play
41.7% (60)
56.1% (164)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (205)
44.1% (1,635)
-6.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (678).
Luostarinen shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Dowd
Home
44.7% (1,006)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
43.1% (1,007)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Luostarinen
Dowd
P1
43.4%
51.7%
P2
45.3%
50.4%
P3
43.0%
50.3%
OT
37.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |