Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 84.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Luostarinen
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
55.2% (625)
-13.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
57.1% (7)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
38.2% (220)
+6.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Luostarinen shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Dowd
Home
41.5% (207)
53.7% (445)
Away
42.2% (211)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Luostarinen
Dowd
P1
38.2%
48.8%
P2
44.9%
49.3%
P3
42.9%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%