Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Dowd 49.9% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 83.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Luostarinen
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
52.2% (835)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.0% (10)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
44.0% (350)
-7.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Luostarinen is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Luostarinen shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Dowd
Home
46.2% (39)
51.5% (619)
Away
44.1% (34)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Luostarinen
Dowd
P1
48.4%
51.7%
P2
41.7%
51.6%
P3
44.4%
47.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%