Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Dowd 53.3% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 50.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 79.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Luostarinen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Luostarinen
Dowd
Last 5: Luostarinen 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Luostarinen
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
0
Luostarinen
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
55.4% (771)
-14.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
45.5% (165)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Luostarinen shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Dowd
Home
38.8% (402)
58.2% (462)
Away
41.3% (400)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Luostarinen
Dowd
P1
40.7%
55.6%
P2
42.9%
50.5%
P3
36.2%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |