Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs Dowd 49.1% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 82.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Luostarinen
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
51.7% (644)
-3.5%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
0.0% (2)
+36.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
41.6% (221)
-10.8%
On power play, Luostarinen has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Luostarinen shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Dowd
Home
40.7% (27)
48.6% (451)
Away
45.3% (53)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Luostarinen
Dowd
P1
47.8%
49.1%
P2
39.1%
47.3%
P3
42.4%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%