Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 41.1% vs Paul 50.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 57.4%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 54.4%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 54.4%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Luostarinen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Luostarinen
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (708)
53.0% (644)
-11.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
37.5% (24)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (84)
42.9% (177)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Luostarinen is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Luostarinen shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Paul
Home
38.8% (402)
52.5% (516)
Away
41.3% (400)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Luostarinen
Paul
P1
40.7%
47.6%
P2
42.9%
48.4%
P3
36.2%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
40.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |