Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 54.3%). Luostarinen wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 52.3% vs Paul 53.9% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 53.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 57.0%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 51.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Luostarinen
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (153)
53.1% (710)
+0.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
57.3% (199)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
58.0% (69)
+2.0%
On power play, Paul has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Luostarinen shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Paul
Home
53.3% (92)
56.0% (466)
Away
54.0% (87)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Luostarinen
Paul
P1
52.2%
57.2%
P2
49.1%
54.9%
P3
60.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
62.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%