Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Paul 52.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 68.7%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 76.3%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 71.9%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Luostarinen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Luostarinen
Paul
Last 10: Luostarinen 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Luostarinen
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Luostarinen
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Luostarinen
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,748)
52.5% (3,796)
-7.8%
Power Play
41.7% (60)
56.5% (480)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (205)
46.7% (574)
-8.7%
On power play, Paul has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,335).
Luostarinen shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Paul
Home
44.7% (1,006)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
43.1% (1,007)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Luostarinen
Paul
P1
43.4%
53.9%
P2
45.3%
51.0%
P3
43.0%
52.0%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |