Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs Paul 53.3% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 52.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Luostarinen
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
53.2% (327)
-5.0%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.4% (57)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
50.0% (32)
-19.2%
On power play, Paul has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Luostarinen is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Luostarinen shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Paul
Home
40.7% (27)
54.6% (183)
Away
45.3% (53)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Luostarinen
Paul
P1
47.8%
56.3%
P2
39.1%
54.8%
P3
42.4%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%