Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Cates 40.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 62.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 72.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Luostarinen
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Luostarinen
Cates
Last 7: Luostarinen 3-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Luostarinen
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Luostarinen
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
40.4% (841)
+1.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
42.4% (66)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
32.7% (147)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Luostarinen has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Luostarinen shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Cates
Home
41.5% (207)
38.2% (566)
Away
42.2% (211)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Luostarinen
Cates
P1
38.2%
40.5%
P2
44.9%
42.4%
P3
42.9%
35.3%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Noah Cates |