Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 44.6%). Luostarinen wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Cates 45.1% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 71.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 75.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Luostarinen
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
46.7% (912)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.9% (56)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
35.0% (137)
+1.4%
On power play, Luostarinen has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Luostarinen shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Cates
Home
46.2% (39)
46.1% (521)
Away
44.1% (34)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Luostarinen
Cates
P1
48.4%
48.0%
P2
41.7%
42.3%
P3
44.4%
44.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%