Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs Cates 45.5% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 50.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 59.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Luostarinen
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
45.4% (712)
+2.8%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
42.2% (102)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
44.7% (47)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Luostarinen is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Luostarinen shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Cates
Home
40.7% (27)
46.3% (423)
Away
45.3% (53)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Luostarinen
Cates
P1
47.8%
46.3%
P2
39.1%
47.1%
P3
42.4%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%