Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs Hertl 57.2% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 85.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 66.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 73.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Luostarinen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Luostarinen
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
58.1% (823)
-9.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
56.2% (265)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
62.9% (35)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Luostarinen is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hertl
Home
40.7% (27)
59.7% (561)
Away
45.3% (53)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hertl
P1
47.8%
51.6%
P2
39.1%
63.8%
P3
42.4%
58.6%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |