Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Hertl 55.4% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Luostarinen
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
54.1% (717)
-7.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
61.9% (210)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
58.1% (31)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hertl
Home
46.2% (39)
58.1% (492)
Away
44.1% (34)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hertl
P1
48.4%
57.1%
P2
41.7%
54.0%
P3
44.4%
56.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
45.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%