Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 93.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 81.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 83.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 86.4%
13.6%
86.4%
Luostarinen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Luostarinen
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
54.1% (1,117)
-12.7%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
59.8% (296)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
34.4% (32)
+10.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hertl
Home
41.5% (207)
54.3% (709)
Away
42.2% (211)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hertl
P1
38.2%
51.6%
P2
44.9%
53.6%
P3
42.9%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |