Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 83.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 91.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 92.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 88.9%
11.1%
88.9%
McDavid
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McDavid
Lindholm
Last 6: McDavid 5-1 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
54.0% (494)
-10.7%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
66.3% (83)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
53.4% (58)
-11.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. McDavid is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
McDavid shoots left. Lindholm is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
McDavid
Lindholm
Home
48.7% (413)
60.2% (314)
Away
37.4% (393)
51.1% (321)
By Period
McDavid
Lindholm
P1
38.8%
59.8%
P2
46.8%
53.9%
P3
44.2%
52.7%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |