Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Lindholm 51.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 26-11 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 69.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
McDavid
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
26
(37 meetings)
11
26
McDavid
Lindholm
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
7
6
McDavid
Lindholm
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
7
McDavid
Lindholm
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
13
McDavid
Lindholm
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
51.3% (698)
-2.2%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
58.3% (115)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
47.2% (178)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. McDavid is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (182).
McDavid shoots left. Lindholm is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
McDavid
Lindholm
Home
56.1% (330)
49.7% (471)
Away
42.5% (308)
52.9% (520)
By Period
McDavid
Lindholm
P1
49.2%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
51.4%
P3
53.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |