Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 52.9%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Lindholm 52.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 64.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
McDavid
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
McDavid
Lindholm
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
4
McDavid
Lindholm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
3
McDavid
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
3
McDavid
Lindholm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
52.4% (1,156)
+1.9%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
59.6% (198)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
49.6% (238)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Home / Away
McDavid
Lindholm
Home
53.6% (507)
52.3% (771)
Away
53.8% (539)
53.5% (821)
By Period
McDavid
Lindholm
P1
52.6%
50.7%
P2
54.1%
55.3%
P3
54.9%
54.0%
OT
44.4%
29.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |