Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 51.2% vs Evans 50.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 64.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 51.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Lindholm
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lindholm
Evans
Last 7: Lindholm 4-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Lindholm
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (698)
52.2% (320)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.3% (115)
100.0% (2)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
41.0% (83)
+6.2%
On power play, Evans has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lindholm is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Lindholm shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Evans
Home
49.7% (471)
54.3% (223)
Away
52.9% (520)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Lindholm
Evans
P1
53.8%
53.9%
P2
51.4%
44.9%
P3
49.4%
52.5%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jake Evans |