Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 56.2%). Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Evans 55.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 83.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lindholm
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lindholm
Evans
Last 7: Lindholm 3-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Lindholm
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Lindholm
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
56.2% (477)
-1.8%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
70.0% (10)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
55.4% (204)
-6.0%
On power play, Evans has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Evans
Home
55.8% (541)
55.3% (374)
Away
54.7% (428)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Lindholm
Evans
P1
54.8%
58.5%
P2
55.7%
55.7%
P3
55.6%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |