Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Evans 49.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Lindholm
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lindholm
Evans
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Lindholm
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
3
Lindholm
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
51.3% (739)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
53.3% (15)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
43.0% (172)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Lindholm shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Evans
Home
52.3% (771)
52.1% (503)
Away
53.5% (821)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Lindholm
Evans
P1
50.7%
50.5%
P2
55.3%
47.7%
P3
54.0%
51.3%
OT
29.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |