Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Evans 52.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 92.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 68.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Lindholm
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lindholm
Evans
Last 5: Lindholm 4-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Lindholm
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
54.4% (824)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
66.7% (9)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
48.1% (289)
+1.3%
On power play, Evans has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lindholm shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Evans
Home
54.4% (688)
55.1% (541)
Away
56.1% (686)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Lindholm
Evans
P1
57.2%
51.8%
P2
54.3%
53.3%
P3
54.2%
53.8%
OT
54.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |