Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Evans 52.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 51.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Lindholm
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lindholm
Evans
Last 6: Lindholm 1-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Lindholm
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Lindholm
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
54.4% (807)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
55.0% (20)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
46.1% (310)
+3.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Evans
Home
55.2% (667)
53.7% (581)
Away
57.5% (669)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Lindholm
Evans
P1
54.7%
54.6%
P2
55.5%
50.0%
P3
58.5%
52.3%
OT
64.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |