Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.4%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 67 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 96-78 in 174 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 65.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Lindholm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
96
-
78
(174 meetings)
96
78
Lindholm
Tavares
Last 10: Lindholm 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
29
49
Lindholm
Tavares
78 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
52
15
Lindholm
Tavares
67 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
15
14
Lindholm
Tavares
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
54.0% (16,108)
-0.2%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
56.5% (4,283)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
50.6% (620)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Tavares
Home
54.1% (5,943)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Lindholm
Tavares
P1
54.1%
55.0%
P2
54.5%
54.1%
P3
53.0%
54.1%
OT
53.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |