Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 71.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Lindholm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Lindholm
Tavares
Last 10: Lindholm 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Lindholm
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
2
Lindholm
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lindholm
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
57.5% (914)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
60.5% (309)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
59.1% (22)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Tavares
Home
55.7% (760)
61.0% (661)
Away
55.8% (778)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Lindholm
Tavares
P1
53.7%
58.6%
P2
58.3%
57.8%
P3
55.1%
58.4%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | OT | 00:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | OT | 00:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |