Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Lindholm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lindholm
Tavares
Last 10: Lindholm 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Lindholm
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
0
Lindholm
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
57.7% (998)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
60.5% (271)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
56.4% (39)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Tavares
Home
54.4% (688)
59.7% (610)
Away
56.1% (686)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Lindholm
Tavares
P1
57.2%
57.2%
P2
54.3%
58.5%
P3
54.2%
59.4%
OT
54.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |