Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Tavares 58.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 70.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lindholm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lindholm
Tavares
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Lindholm
Tavares
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lindholm
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
59.2% (1,035)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
60.0% (310)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
42.9% (7)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Tavares
Home
55.2% (667)
57.5% (668)
Away
57.5% (669)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Lindholm
Tavares
P1
54.7%
58.0%
P2
55.5%
60.1%
P3
58.5%
61.0%
OT
64.7%
27.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2023 | OT | 04:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | OT | 01:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |