Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Tavares 59.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 57.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Lindholm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Lindholm
Tavares
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
6
Lindholm
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
1
Lindholm
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
60.9% (1,043)
-8.5%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
60.4% (278)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
47.6% (21)
+2.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Tavares
Home
52.3% (771)
63.5% (684)
Away
53.5% (821)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Lindholm
Tavares
P1
50.7%
60.3%
P2
55.3%
60.4%
P3
54.0%
60.1%
OT
29.6%
92.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |