Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.5%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Tavares 54.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Lindholm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Lindholm
Tavares
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
3
Lindholm
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (636)
53.0% (1,201)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.1% (161)
61.5% (262)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (140)
53.8% (65)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lindholm is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Lindholm shoots right. Tavares is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Tavares
Home
56.1% (490)
57.5% (762)
Away
52.3% (447)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Lindholm
Tavares
P1
53.2%
54.5%
P2
57.1%
53.2%
P3
53.0%
55.5%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |