Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 51.2% vs Tavares 54.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 55.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Lindholm
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Lindholm
Tavares
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
16
Lindholm
Tavares
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
16
2
Lindholm
Tavares
18 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (698)
54.5% (692)
-3.2%
Power Play
58.3% (115)
59.1% (149)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
54.5% (11)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lindholm is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Lindholm shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Tavares
Home
49.7% (471)
57.9% (404)
Away
52.9% (520)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Lindholm
Tavares
P1
53.8%
54.2%
P2
51.4%
55.1%
P3
49.4%
56.4%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |