Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Staal 56.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Lindholm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lindholm
Staal
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
1
Lindholm
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Lindholm
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
58.9% (1,041)
-6.5%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
53.4% (73)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
49.1% (171)
+0.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Staal
Home
52.3% (771)
59.0% (578)
Away
53.5% (821)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Lindholm
Staal
P1
50.7%
57.1%
P2
55.3%
60.9%
P3
54.0%
55.8%
OT
29.6%
20.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | OT | 01:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |