Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 35 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 50-33 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Lindholm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
33
(83 meetings)
50
33
Lindholm
Staal
Last 10: Lindholm 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
22
13
Lindholm
Staal
35 total
Defensive Zone
Even
10
10
Lindholm
Staal
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
18
10
Lindholm
Staal
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
55.9% (14,620)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
62.7% (1,745)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
48.0% (2,896)
+0.1%
On power play, Staal has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Staal
Home
54.1% (5,943)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Lindholm
Staal
P1
54.1%
55.2%
P2
54.5%
55.9%
P3
53.0%
54.9%
OT
53.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |